What to Expect When You're Expecting So Much from the Quad

commentary

(CNN)

Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison (R) and Minister for Foreign Affairs Marise Payne (L) participate in the inaugural Quad leaders meeting with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, U.S. President Joe Biden, and Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga in a virtual meeting in Sydney, Australia, March 13, 2021, photo by Dean Lewins/Reuters

Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison (R) and Minister for Foreign Affairs Marise Payne (L) participate in the inaugural Quad leaders meeting with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, U.S. President Joe Biden, and Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga from Sydney, Australia, March 13, 2021

Photo by Dean Lewins/Reuters

by Jeffrey W. Hornung

March 31, 2021

The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, better known as the Quad, has been getting a lot of attention recently. When the leaders of the United States, Japan, India, and Australia met virtually for their first group meeting on March 12, the meeting was called historic.

Without a doubt, the meeting was indeed historic. Prior to this recent summit, representatives from the Quad countries met only during an unpublicized meeting in 2007. Then, following a 2017 meeting among representatives on the sidelines of an ASEAN summit in Manila, ministerial-level meetings were held in 2019 and 2020 and a third ministerial was held this February. The recent meeting at the leader level was therefore a first, which is what garnered so much attention.

But is this attention warranted? Probably—but a heavy dose of “manage your expectations” may also be required.…

The remainder of this commentary is available at cnn.com.


Jeffrey W. Hornung is a political scientist at the nonprofit, nonpartisan RAND Corporation.

This commentary originally appeared on CNN on March 31, 2021. Commentary gives RAND researchers a platform to convey insights based on their professional expertise and often on their peer-reviewed research and analysis.